1. Steady freelancer, £72k/year, no spikes
Setup: You've billed roughly £6,000/month for 18 months. No single month above £8,500.
What to do: You're under the £90,000 rolling 12-month threshold. Registration is voluntary, not mandatory. Consider it only if you mostly serve VAT-registered B2B customers (so charging VAT doesn't lose you sales) and you have significant VAT-able costs to reclaim.
2. Sole trader hitting £85k in 11 months
Setup: You're at £85,000 of taxable turnover with one month left in your rolling 12-month window. Year-end is approaching.
What to do: If you expect to cross £90,000 in the NEXT 30 days alone, you must register within 30 days of the day you realised. Otherwise, watch the rolling window — register the moment cumulative 12-month turnover crosses £90,000. Penalties for late registration scale with how late you are.
3. One big invoice pushes you over
Setup: You're at £80,000 for the year. A single £20,000 invoice lands.
What to do: You're now at £100,000 over the rolling 12 months. Mandatory registration — you have 30 days from the end of the month in which you crossed to notify HMRC. Effective registration date is the first of the second month after you crossed.
4. Already registered, turnover dropping below £88k
Setup: You registered at £95k two years ago. Trade has slowed and you're now at £82,000 annual taxable turnover.
What to do: You can apply to deregister once your taxable turnover drops below the deregistration threshold (£88,000). You don't have to — many freelancers stay registered to keep client trust and to keep reclaiming input VAT. If you deregister, you may have to account for VAT on stock and assets on hand.